<div style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; text-indent: 0px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">上周一周,是黑色的一周,大盘重心稳步下移,缓慢下跌,虽然我们做<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">T</span>赚了点钱,但是大盘整体是下跌的,从周一开盘的<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3450</span>点,到周五收盘的<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3380</span>点,周累计下跌了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">70</span>点,盘中震荡更是不计其数,<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3400</span>下来后就屡冲不上,在此为本周放入底仓盈利的<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">12%</span>部分感到欣慰。</span></div><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; text-indent: 0px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">日<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">K</span>上,我们可以看到,大盘的中心明显缓步下移,而且日<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">K</span>已经连续<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3</span>天在<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">MA5</span>日线之下运行,周五收盘,也首次收在了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">EXP</span>均线之下。从技术上说,大盘形势堪忧。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; text-indent: 0px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">从外围说,周五欧股收阴,但是尾盘急拉,欧股收盘后美股从阳变阴,而且尾盘急杀,由于欧股像来是美股跟屁虫,所以在此默哀欧股一下,周一必定低开。美股尾盘急剧跳水,向来杀伤力极大,比直接阴下来杀伤力更大,因为具有震慑作用。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; text-indent: 0px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">周末总共有二大震撼性消息,证金公司宣布持股底牌,全部曝光,股灾期间买入<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">12000</span>亿人民币股票,涉及<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">1635</span>余只个股,目前浮亏<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2100</span>亿元。周末晚上<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">8</span>点公安部爆消息,破获特大操纵股指期货案件,非法获利<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">20</span>余亿元。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">证金真是大手笔,两市流通股加起来,也就<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">38</span>万亿,他自己一口气买了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">1.2</span>万亿,全部是直接性现金流入,<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">08</span>年的四万亿算个啥啊,四万亿分散到各个行业,基建钢铁利润那么大,最终流入股市的能有<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2000</span>亿就不错了,我原以为救市最多拿<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2000</span>亿,所谓开的一万亿信用卡纯粹是忽悠,结果他真的又买了一万亿,浮亏的部分都比我们预估买入的钱要多,太狠了。我原来以为国家队操盘手只用了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2000</span>亿来操纵大盘,做到如此程度实在是高,厉害,结果他是用了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">1.2</span>万亿,还用了各种政策,废了期货,看来也就一般般。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">38</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">万亿,大股东占了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">30~40%</span>,被强制不准减持,公募基金占了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">30%</span>,被强制限定了仓位,而且股指期货被废之后也不存在什么套保的说法了,没有投机盘,去哪里套保,被迫上船,只能跟随国家队一条阵线了。加上自己占据了总流通市值的<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3%</span>,堪称<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">A</span>股古往今来第一庄,而且有政策配合等种种优势,难怪可以逆转牛熊,硬生生的打断了熊市的正常进展,怪不得<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">9</span>月的时候总感觉卖盘稀少,我以为是散户不愿意割肉,原来筹码都被国家队锁定了。。。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">证金的亏损不在于个股,在于大蓝筹,比如银行股,持续阴跌,但是前十大股东占据了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">90%</span>的流通筹码,可以说实现了绝对控盘,如果不是因为和<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">H</span>股价差过大,怕拉升大蓝筹会引起个股恐慌外逃,早拉升了。这是劣势也是优势,大蓝筹被高度锁定,如果国家队认为形势允许的话,可以很轻易的发动大蓝筹拉升指数做平台,从而引导股市走牛,制造一个人工慢牛,拉升蓝筹到底是引发个股外逃,还是做平台激发场外资金大幅流入,就看国家队对这个时机的把握了。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">所以下周,</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">A</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">股本身屡次冲关失败,走势疲软,在</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3360-3400</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">之间反复震荡,但是空间极度狭窄,维持不住,必有回调整理的需要,因为除非向上,否则就必须向下,哪怕只是短暂向下。外围一片糟糕,也没什么利好消息。所以我仍然认为,中长期看多,短期看空。短期之内,我们应该看多做空防止回调,持币避险。但是整体形势并未恶化,国家队被套牢当然是天大的利好消息,而且自愿露出底牌示众,敢露底牌是有相当的把握向上了,露了底牌还向下,领队可是无能重罪,口水都能喷死他,没有一定把握我料他不敢这么做。</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">所以,依然维持原策略,短期看跌,但是回调不深,而且回踩支撑位后极有可能发动凌厉反弹,为防踏空,我们在</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">20</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">日线和</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">30</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">日线分别买入</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">成,也就是</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3300</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">点买入</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">成,</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3250</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">点买入</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">成。虽然外围急剧恶坏,但是从</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">A</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">股本身而言,我认为应该不会击破</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3200</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">,故在</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3200</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">不买入,而是采用回踩</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3200</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">强反到</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3250</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">之上再买入的手法来规避那</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">5%</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">的意外,击破</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3200</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">直接清仓。</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">另外顺口提一下,国家队买入了</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">1635</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">个股,靠王的女人来爆炒的注意安全了,绝对是重大利空,王开始恩泽天下了,没停牌的</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">7</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">成的女人都收入后宫了。。。</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 13.63636302947998px; line-height: 23.636363983154297px; white-space: normal;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体;">最后,关注中车保险卷商等蓝筹,拉他们而个股不怎么跌的话,大好局面可期。</span></p><p><br></p>