<p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;">【盘前技术分析】</strong></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>上周五大盘早盘低开高走,尾盘回落,最终收盘跌4个点,全天最高点3417点,最低点3346点,量能3072亿,收盘3382点。日线走势上,收个假阳K线十字星,继续失守5日线、10日线,MACD红柱逐步的继续缩短。大盘应该会继续缓慢下跌,寻找支撑,若破60日均线诱空可能性很大。</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>此前大家一直泛泛而言救市资金上万亿,现在有了确凿的证据,救市资金上万亿不再是个传说。可以肯定,真实救市资金量一定要超出统计数据,因为还有未进入十大股东榜的持股未能被统计在内。</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>大盘由下跌或横盘转为上涨初期,途中往往会出现单日幅度不小的下跌,个股情况往往非常惨烈,但并不影响反弹趋势。究其原因,一方面是要进行洗盘,清除筹码,另一方面是主力资金需要进行仓位的调整。2850点反弹后,这样的单日下跌已经在10月21日出现,且随后在3个交易日内创出新高,证明反弹仍是主基调。</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">从量能来看,沪指下跌以来,最低单日成交量出现在9月30日的1566亿,对比此前巅峰成交量的单日1.3万亿,缩水8.3倍,人气跌进低谷。而进入10月,沪指则维持温和放量态势,证明主力资金对这一地量的认可。从资金面上,随着“两融”余额攀升,降准降息靴子落地,宽松预期实现的同时,中国可能会在未来步入负利率或低利率时代,如果股市延续温和反弹,居民资金很可能再次搬家至A股市场。前期去泡沫性质的下跌结束后,在三季度多数上市公司业绩预喜的情况下,资金已经变得更为理性,表现强势的板块,如新能源 、新农业、信息安全等,都有明显的业绩和政策支持,有望让市场的赚钱效应延续。</span><br style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"/></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;"><br style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"/></span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;">【盘前要闻解读】</strong></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>1、泽熙徐翔被查</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">徐翔非法获取股市内幕操纵股票价格被依法采取强制措施,</span><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">泽熙资本实控人徐翔被警方带走 泽熙投资多位高层失联。</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">2、公安部破获期货操纵案</span><br style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"/></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">公安部指挥上海警方破获一起特大操纵期货案,</span><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">股市波动又一幕后黑手落。上海破获特大操纵期货市场案,</span><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">操纵期货市场非法获利20多亿元。</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><br style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"/></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;">【今日走势预测】</strong></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">霹雳股侠认为,近期的震荡整理仅仅是上升途中的换挡,市场完成中途换挡后,新的热点将继续引领大盘活跃。理由如下:</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">1、前期率先启动的小市值股票已经积累可观的涨幅。以创业板指数为例,从9月中旬最低点1800点附近涨到最高点2500点以上,涨幅超过40%,很多个股积累了比较大的获利盘,一些小市值的股票甚至出现连续拉升的走势,因此上周三的调整合情合理。</span><br style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"/></span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">2、市场在3500点关口前需要清洗获利筹码,充分调整后方能集聚冲关动力。3500点是前期救市的“政策底”,积累了大量的套牢盘,当指数接近3500点关口时,一旦上升乏力,市场获利盘自然会出现落袋为安的举动。因此,在3500点关口前充分震荡调整以消化获利盘是积极和健康的,对后市的突破非常有利。</span><br style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"/></span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">3、许多私&nbsp;</span><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">募机构由于国庆节踏空,仓位过低,都在本周进行加仓的动作,既然私募机构在加仓过程,是不会在建仓尚未完毕之前大幅拉升,目前许多私募机构的建仓动作已进入尾声。此调仓换股震荡行情,由于已经连续3天跌破5日均线和10日均线,很容易把技术牛散和普通散户洗盘出局。但周五沪深两市的涨停家数有60多家,跌停家数仅有6家,如果主力真想用权重股来砸盘,指数的跌幅应该不只这么点。因此上证指数只要3330点不被有效跌破,震荡格局无需太过担心,可轻大盘重个股。</span></span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-indent: 2em;"><br style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"/></span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;">【今日操作策略】</strong></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">操作上,对于前期率先上涨涨幅较大且缺乏业绩支撑的股票,如果发现上涨乏力应及时撤离,逐步换成有良好业绩支撑的蓝筹股。三季报将全部出清,对于那些前期率先上涨的以中小创为代表的小市值题材股,其最大的优点是盘子小,只要有不太多的资金介入就可以将股价拉起,但其最大的软肋在于缺乏业绩的支撑,一到公布业绩的时点往往原形毕露,很容易在劣质业绩报告的影响下出现大幅回落的走势。毕竟创业板的平均市盈率仍高居70倍以上,多数股票成长性很一般,业绩报告披露期很容易成为股价风险爆发期,投资者在这一期间应尽力回避绩差题材股的业绩风险。</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">另外,对前期被私募热炒的明星私募个股,尤其是徐翔持仓股,避而远之。</span></p><p><br></p>