<p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>【<strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;">市场概况</strong>】</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>今天沪深股市早盘低开,开盘后震荡走高,下午开始单边下跌,最终三大指数均呈过山车行情。上证综指收盘下跌57.48点,跌幅1.70%。深成指收盘下跌241.17点,跌幅2.09%。创业板指数收盘下跌46.24点,跌幅1.87%。</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>个股方面截止收盘,两市涨停个股37只,跌停个股51只。板块方面截止收盘,行业板块涨幅居前的分别是,日用化工、农林牧渔、酒店餐饮,并且只有这三个板块收红。跌幅靠前的分别是,船舶、航空、公共交通。概念板块涨幅居前的分别是猪肉、次新股、跨境电商,并且也只有这三个板块收红。跌幅靠前的分别是,充电桩、全息概念、智能电网。</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>&nbsp;</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>【<strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;">大盘技术面分析</strong>】</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>今天上证综指日线收一根带长上影线的小阴倒T字形K线,成交量较前一交易日略有萎缩。MACD指标的DIFF线开始略微向下,有和DEA线粘合的趋势,红柱动能继续缩减。60分钟周期的布林带指标有开口趋势,K线跌穿布林带下轨。MACD指标的DIFF线跌穿零轴,绿柱动能增加。30分钟周期的布林带指标也呈开口趋势,K线跌穿布林带下轨。MACD指标呈死叉状态,绿柱动能增加。</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>深成指的收盘情况和上证指数基本相似,日K线也收一根带长上影线的小阴倒T字形K线,成交量较前一交易日略有萎缩。MACD指标的DIFF线开始略微向下,有和DEA线粘合的趋势,红柱动能继续缩减。但均线系统方面,深成指的日K线还在6日均线之上。</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>创业板指数日线收一根带长上影线的小阳线,成交量较前一交易日略有萎缩。MACD指标的DIFF线和DEA线已经粘合在一起,红柱动能缩减为零。均线方面,60日均线和年线粘合,30日均线有上穿60日均线和年线的趋势。</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>&nbsp;</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>【<strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;">后市研判及观点</strong>】</p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>今天三大指数分时走势均呈倒V字型走势,早盘低开后,虽震荡走高,但反弹时的成交量明显不够,下午的回落其实也有所预期,尤其是在中字头的大盘股拉升之时,渔夫也意识到大盘会有回调,因此建议仓位重的股友进行减仓。但仓位较轻的股友建议持股不动,这主要是因为渔夫仍然继续看好大盘的后市。<strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">渔夫看好后市的原因主要有以下几点:</span></strong></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">1、个股方面,大部分个股都已经走出底部的形态;</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">2、大盘成交量最近缩量,从历史走势看,所有的成交量萎缩都是在底部区域;</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">3、大盘日线周期MACD指标有形成加速上涨信号的概率;</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">4、渔夫自用指标长期趋势线最近仍在向上运行;</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">5、创业板指数的均线系统显示,60日均线和年线粘合并由向下转为走平,30日均线向上有上穿年线和60日均线的趋势;</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">6、深成指的K线目前仍在60日均线之上;</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>结合三大指数各周期的技术指标信号分析,大盘短期仍有回调的空间,这个在周六录制的视频中已经说过,下方的最大空间就是3260附近。并且<span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(192, 0, 0);">大盘明后天是时间窗口,将会发生转折。</span><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">如果不出意外,明天大盘将出现探底回升的走势的概率较大。</span></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>操作上在下午虽然提示仓位较重的股友减仓,也给出了一个参考:如果该股上方正面临较重要的压力位,下方离支撑位又比较远,这样的股票需要考虑减仓。如果该股票下方紧邻重要支撑,上方离压力位较远,这样的股票可以继续持有。但考虑到大家的心态,估计能够减仓的人并不多。因此,<strong style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px;"><span style="list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; color: rgb(192, 0, 0);">明天如果大盘上午出现急跌,大家一定要保持淡定,一定不要在急速的下跌中减仓出局。反而如果仓位较轻的股友,可以趁下跌逐渐加仓,但不建议满仓操作。</span></strong></p><p style="list-style: none; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-size: 18px; line-height: 26px; word-wrap: break-word; font-family: arial, simsun; white-space: normal;>&nbsp;</p><p><br></p>