<p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股心得(1)---为什麽散户不会赚钱</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股是资源再分配,并不创造财富.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">开办股市就是为了圈钱,不给你一点甜头你不会进来,更不用说掏钱.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">中国股市没有做空机制,往下做只不过是为了将来往上拉.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">主力有远大目标,显得大智若愚.散户有小聪明,却是大愚若智.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">人性有恐惧和贪婪,主力专找这两死穴攻击.散户却不承认自身有此毛病.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;6.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">趋势理论其实非常重要,其时我们大部分时间都在等待,下跌途中空仓等待,上涨途中满仓等待,只有转势那一刻才动手买卖.均线可以帮我们判断趋势,但如果你不懂或不信它,谁也救不了你.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;7.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">主力可以用日K线骗你,但它无法用月K线骗你,因为拆借资金玩不起时间,利息成本太高.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;8.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">主力当然知道软件的威力,所以它会在底部或顶部区间上下震荡,使忠实反映情况的软件发出前后矛盾的信号,你抛开软件正中主力下怀.没了K线图就等于被废去双眼,你还想干啥?等你悟出月K线的奥秘,你就会爱上软件.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;9.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">物极必反的原理非常适合炒股.如果你悟出它的真缔,你就不会再干出追高杀低的蠢事.至少你不会再冲动.KD/BOLLING都是很好的防冲动指标. 10.周密计划是主力成功的关键所在.介入价位,密集成交区,筹码分布,指标高低,时间跨度,题裁配合,意外状况,止损/止盈点....现在明白主力为什么会赚你的钱了吧?</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股心得(2)--技术指标不是万能的,但它是股海中的救生衣。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。不要试图去猜大盘是否见顶,况且即使大盘见顶你手中的股票仍在补涨中,你也要卖掉吗?让均线来帮我们判断(30/60都行),你手中的股票也是一样。跌破就卖掉,涨上就买回。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。对不同的股票不要有相同的预期,因为我们用同一种指标来侦测不同的股票,盈利效果肯定不一样,出现买卖信号就行动,不要与以前比较,否则会搞乱我们的操作思路,使我们怀疑自己的指标是否正确。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。周线比日线准确,日线的波动是庄家使得诡计,迷恋日线说明你是菜鸟。注定你要失败。月线的使用者是大智若愚的高手。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。相信技术指标比相信股价更重要。眼前一目了然的东西往往具有欺骗性,内在美才是你一生的追求,外表美只是水中月镜中花。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;6</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。永远不要忘了突破后面紧跟着的是回抽,即使有个别例外。个性和共性别搞混了。回抽吸纳永远是制胜的法宝。回抽后的图形有人认为要大跌有人认为刚起步,这就是菜鸟和大侠的区别。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股心得(3)--如何用技术指标选股</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。技术指标有几百种,任何单一技术指标都有它的局限性,所以我们需要多种指标互相映证。例如MACD是最简单的指标,但股价在筑底阶段会反复出现金叉死叉,怎麽办?这时我们可以到周线图去观察它的趋势,这样可以过滤掉许多无效的波动来扰乱我们的心情,减少操作次数,做到心中有数(顶部也是如此)。只有那些想吃到最底和最顶的人才会守着日线抱怨指标不准。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。有了价的指标还远远不够,需要用量的指标来进行二次筛选。散户线/脑电波/筹码分布图/换手率等这些指标都非常重要。如果你今天才第一次听说这些指标,那就危险了。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。我们再从个股基本面做第三次筛选。f10会告诉我们很多东西,也许你会说那没用,其实人均持股数/每股经营现金净流量/主营业务利润率等还是非常有用的。当然有个别股票是靠我们无法把握的重组突然拉起来的,我们没选到他不是我们技术差而是我们回避了不确定因素,我们不能因为意外之财好赚就去天天找意外,脚踏实地的选股才是我们散户的正路。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。各股的消息机构从来不会告诉我们,我们不去从技术上寻找机构的蛛丝马迹,难道还有第二条路吗?虽然技术分析是一项劳神费心看起来没把握的事情。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">今天你既然从事这项工作,你别无选择,只有华山一条路-----上。与其带着怀疑和抱怨上路,不如坚定信心轻松前进。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。最后,我们选出的股票其中有些因为指标提示不理想,那就把它排除,不要受别人意见的影响,也不要受它未来走势的影响而怀疑自己的选股思路。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股心得(4)--你用月线选股吗?</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。用月线指标找底部其实很复杂,不能光靠k线图/均线/成较量就判断这支股票未来会上涨,但以上指标是筛选未来上涨股票的基础,不能缺少,你忽略它一定会受到惩罚。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。macd/bolling/kd/roc等指标是选股的第二根保险绳,因为月线打底的股票日线一定很难看,这时候你必须相信指标而不要被图形吓倒。这一点往往是大部分人做不到的。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。散户线/脑电波/市场成本均线/筹码分布图等指标是选股的第三根保险绳,这些指标可以让你看出主力在想什麽,只有站在主力的立场上去观察这支股票,你后面的决定才是正确的。单相思是没有用的。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。如果你决定要买它,你就要反推到周/日/60分钟的图形去找到它的拐点,这样你才有80%的把握不会被套,或者套得很浅时间很短。否则你盲目进去一被套又开始怀疑这套理论是否错误了。在你被套的过程中你唯一的精神支柱就是上面的理论,信与不信的挣扎过程是你成长的必经之路,闯过它你就破茧成蝶了。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股心得(5)--用长线思路选股的重要性</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">我非常耐心的看了你和网友们的讨论的贴子,又看了你列出来的六只股票,我觉得你的操作思路与你实际的操作刚好相反,这不是你买股票时被主力发现了而被主力洗盘,而是你的选股思路虽然看似有道理实际却有很多漏洞。如果你仍然坚持你的思路是正确的,你的选股理论是超过常人的,那麽后果是可想而知的。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">你的理论确实比一般人了解得多,但有几个重要而基本的理论你跟一般人一样都不清楚,所以你跟一般人一样都是失败。选股是一个复杂的工程,基本条件缺一不可,漏掉一个,失败是必然的,成功是偶然的。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">你的选股思路是炒短线,放量突破前期新高时追入,第二天冲高无力时卖出。但是在底部的股票和盘出底部的股票放量创新高后的走势是截然不同的。你没有从月线和周线上判断底部,只从日线上判断底部,这时你也犯了一般散户的通病。你买的都不是真正走出底部的股票,所以假突破之后又回来了,你只好止损。就是因为你一心想找短线的股票,所以才会走火入魔。你根本不看周线和月线,你觉得太慢了,输了更急于扳回来,你已经无法冷静的全面分析一只股票了。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">我看了你买的6支股票,没有一条清晰的主线,行业五花八门,成长性参差不齐,业绩非常糟糕,从图形上也看不出主力已介入,未来有题材。只有你一相情愿的认为后面会大幅上涨。你是短线炒手却陷入了长期抗战,赌未来。难怪每次都输。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">根据以上分析,可以看出你买的股票都不具备短线爆发能力,却买它炒短线。所以一直悬在那里只好做长线,你又不想做长线,只好频繁换股。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">一只股票在没涨之前我们选它,靠的是科学的长线潜力的分析,因为短线的靠的是长期的积累能量,你对长线分析不屑一顾,难怪你抓不住短线爆发的股票。在这方面你需要重新学习如何长线选股(基本面和技术面)。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">另外不要太贪婪,要求股票明天必须涨,不涨就割。沉着得心态是炒股成功的关键。浮躁只会落入庄家的圈套。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股心得(6)--笑看股评</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">我们散户都喜欢看股评,原因如下:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。技术分析的理论知识少得可怜,想从股评中充实自己的理论水平。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。每天面对一千多只股票的涨跌,眼花缭乱,看不出主线,只是一团乱麻。心里着急,想找只"慧眼</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">”</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。没时间去翻一千多只股票的走势图,所以就不能全面客观地总结出股票的涨跌情况。希望专家用三言两语告诉我们。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。对自己选的股票没有把握,心里没底。手中的股票不涨甚至下跌时更是觉得缺乏继续持有的理论依据。而专家的股票有理有据,而且正在涨,左看右看都完美。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。市场上有无数的专家,买入其中一个的股票,发觉涨得慢或不涨甚至还下跌,其他专家的股票涨得很好,所以希望找到更好的专家,于是天天在寻找,反复比较。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;6</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。对未来大盘或个股的走势没有把握,希望从股评中看出方向。或者当前的上涨或下跌出乎自己的预料,自己从感情上不能接受,希望从股评中找到依据,找到是外界原因而非自身原因导致下跌的理由,使自己的心理达到平衡。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;7</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。总想找到提示我们何种价位卖出的股评,可总是找不到。但我们仍炊</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;MingLiU_HKSCS&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue"></span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">簧岬丶绦</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;MingLiU_HKSCS&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue"></span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">罢摇?</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">股评属于事后总结的类型,其实任何事情都需要总结,没有总结就没有反思,没有反思就没有纠正,没有纠正就没有进步。虽然是</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">“</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">事后诸葛亮</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">”</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">,但它是必需的。问题的关键是反思后的出的结论是什麽,是怨别人还是怨自己,这一点很重要。批评别人很容易。自我批评很困难。不承认这一点我们永远无法进步。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">股市不创造价值,你的财富增值来自于对方的失误。为达到这种目的,双方无所不用其极,此时你于对方理论道义岂不荒唐。唯一平等的一点就是你有权选择退出。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">不知从何时起我已经学会了</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">“</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">笑看股评</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">”</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">,我发觉心情轻松了很多。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">从股评中我们学到的是专家看盘的思路,面对乱麻从何处下手,如何抽丝剥茧。正所谓</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">“</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">外行看热闹,内行看门道</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">”</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">,你在外围看热闹时间久了也会看出点门道吧。至于推荐的各股你就当他是</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">“</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">戏说</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">”</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">吧。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股心得(7)--1783点的下跌重放</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">我看了一下上海大盘从1783开始的下跌图形,发现大盘这次的下跌还是很够意思的(即主力还是手下留情的),原因如下:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。4/7见顶阴线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4/8</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">跌破5日线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4/9</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">跌破10日线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4/12</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">跌破30日摺?</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4/15</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">跌破60日线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4/29</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">跌破120日线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5/</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">?跌破250日线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">这中间没有反弹,没有骗线,图形非常清晰,股盲都看得出来下降趋势。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。理论上讲,跌破10日线,停止买入.</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">跌破30日线,开始出货。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">跌破60日线,全部清仓。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">大盘是这样,各股也是这样。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。我们有充分的时间出货,但为什麽绝大多数人仍然被套在高位,就是因为大家没有把均线当做买卖的依据。现在再看大盘恍如隔世,简单的一根均线,造成了多麽大的损失,所以大家有必要重新检讨对技术指标的偏见。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。这里我应该很庆幸的说,多亏大部分人蔑视均线的威力,否则,一旦跌破60日均线,你的股票将被封在跌停板上卖不出去(都在卖),那麽你只有在股票上升途中才有卖的机会。可惜这种卖的方式只有主力在用。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。散户最大的错误就是大盘在转势的时候不以为然(跌破重要均线),又在趋势明朗的时候放大恐慌。所以追涨杀跌,总是赚不到钱。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">炒股心得(8)--学会放弃吧</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。学会放弃肯定是正确的。一只股票走了好几天的上升通道后,才被大家发现并被推荐,这时你应该放弃要买它的想法。因为一旦随后开始回调,运气好调整一星期,运气不好调整一个月,这时你的头脑会很乱,割肉还是守仓你已没法冷静判断,几次下来你就崩溃了。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。股票的走势历来都是急速拉旗杆之后进行旗面整理,运气好是上升三角形整理,运气不好是下降三角形整理。你被套是肯定的。但随后的走势刚好相反,整理到三角形末端,前者往往向下突破,后者往往向上突破。道理很简单:欺骗性。所以你如果没有在拉旗杆前第一时间介入埋伏,那末你看到旗杆后的第一个想法就是:放弃。此时放弃等于你逃过一劫。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。舆论关注的股票你要放弃。一是舆论不可能关注正在跌的股票(除非可以做空),它毫无谈论价值。二是舆论肯定关注涨得好的股票,这样可以宣传自己的实力(大家也有相信的理由)。于是散户在舆论的推波助澜中丧失了对此股的分析,即使有些许怀疑也把它压下去了。于是我们可以看到往往放大量的大阳线竟然都是头部,这再次证明股市中充满欺骗。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。没走出底部的股票你要放弃。有些股票的走势象</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">“</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">一江春水向东流</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">”</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">,你在任何一个预测的底部介入事后看都不是底。我认为月线测底的准确性很高,20月均线可以作为牛熊分界线,任何在它之下走的股票你都要放弃。如果有的股票上市不足20个月,如果你拿不定主意也要放弃。这就是我一再强调的所谓长线选股的重要性,也是大家炒股必输的关键原因。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。移动筹码分布图上筹码很分散的股票你要放弃。筹码分散意味着主力吸筹不够,仍然会震荡,很容易回落,你此时进去运气好参加横盘,运气不好下跌套牢。就算是,你早已精神崩溃割肉逃命了。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;6</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。量能技术指标不良的股票你要放弃。有些股票图形好像有潜力,但量能指标很差,此时你要相信量能指标,千万不要被股价的外表所欺骗。幻想股价没有量的支持而上涨,那你就是儿童喜欢童话故事。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;7</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。前期大幅炒高的股票你要放弃。即使目前回落了,你也不要碰。山顶左边的10元与山顶右边的10元价值是不同的,出货前与出货后的10元价值是不同的。在山顶右边的每一次接货都是自寻死路。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;8</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">。你觉得未来没有成长性的股票要放弃。经过你的综合判断这支股票成长性不高,后来它开始上涨,于是你推翻了自己的想法又追进去了,如果他又跌了,你就会后悔当初的冲动。所以不要随时推翻自己当初的深思熟虑,否则你就不再思考了,反正都会被推翻。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">我觉得你还要放弃很多东西,就象主力放弃80%只炒20%股票,所以你把以上几点都叠加在一起选股,你会发现找不出几只好股票。这就对了,其实炒股就象摸奖,大部分的东西都是</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">“</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">障眼法</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:&#39;Times New Roman&#39;,&#39;serif&#39;;color:blue">”</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">的需要。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">量比指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">量比 = 现在总手/(5日平均总手 / 240)*当前已开市多少分钟</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">若量比数值大于1,表示现在这时刻的成交总手放大;量放大。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">若量比数值小于1,表示现在这时刻的成交总委比</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">委比 = (A - B)/(A + B)*100%</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">A </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= 某股票当前委托买入下三档手数之和</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">B </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= 某股票当前委托卖出上三档手数之和</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">当委比数值为正时表示委托买入之手数大于委托卖出之手数,换言之,买盘比卖盘大,股价上涨几率较大。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">当委比数值为负时表示委托卖出之手数大于委托买入之手数,换言之,卖盘比买盘大,股价下跌几率较大。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">手萎缩;量萎缩。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">3.K</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">线</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">K</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">线图又称蜡烛线、阴阳线或棒线,原来是日本米市商人用来记录米市当中的行情波动,后因其标画方法具有独到之处,因而在股市及期市中被广泛引用。K线将买卖双方力量</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">的增减与转变过程及实战结果用图形表示出来。经过近百年来的使用与改进,K线理论被投资人广泛接受。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">画法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">K</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">线之开盘价与收盘价之间以实体表示。若收盘价高于开盘价,以中空实体表示,称红线或阳线;若收盘价低于开盘价,则以黑色实体表示,称黑线或阴线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">若当天最高价高于实体之高价,则在实体上方另加细线,称为上影线;当天最低价低于实体之低价,也在实体下方另加细线,称为下影线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">一般来说,上影线愈长表示向下的压力愈大;而下影线愈长表示市场向上的支撑力愈大。K线的实体表示密集交易区。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">4.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">美国线</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">美国线的构造则较K线简单。美国线的直线部分,表示了当天行情的最高价与最低价间的波动幅度。左侧横线代表开盘价,右侧横线侧代表收盘价。绘制美国线比绘制K线简便得多。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">K</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">线所表达的涵义,较为细腻敏感,与美国线相比较,K线较容易掌握短期内价格的波动,也易于判断多空双方(买力与卖力)和强弱状态,作为进出场交易的参考。美国线偏重于趋势面的研究。另外,我们可以在美国线上更清楚地看出各种形态,例如反转形态,整理形态等等</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">5.MACD</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">平滑异同平均线指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">Moving Average Convergence and Divergence</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">平滑异同移动平均线,简称MACD,是近来美国所创的技术分析工具。MACD吸收了移动平均线的优点。运用移动平均线判断买卖时机,在趋势明显时收效很大,但如果碰上牛皮盘整的行情,所发出的信号频繁而不准确。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">根据移动平均线原理所发展出来的MACD,一来克服了移动平均线假信号频繁的缺陷,二来能确保移动平均线最大的战果。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">MACD</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">是计算两条不同速度(长期与中期)的指数平滑移动平均线(EMA)的差离状况来作为研判行情的基础。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(1)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、首先分别计算出收市价SHORT日指数平滑移动平均线与LONG日指数平滑移动平均线,分别记为EMA(SHORT)与EMA(LONG)。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(2)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、求这两条指数平滑移动平均线的差,即:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">DIFF</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">=EMA(SHORT)-EMA(LONG)</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(3)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、再计算DIFF的MID日指数平滑移动平均,记为DEA。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(4)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、最后用DIFF减DEA,得MACD。MACD通常绘制成围绕零轴线波动的柱形图。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">在绘制的图形上,DIFF与DEA形成了两条快慢移动平均线,买进卖出信号也就决定于这两条线的交叉点。很明显,MACD是一个中长期趋势的投资技术工具。缺省时,系统在</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">副图上绘制SHORT=12,LONG=26,MID=9时的DIFF线、DEA线、MACD线(柱状线)。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(1)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、DIFF与DEA均为正值,即都在零轴线以上时,大势属多头市场,DIFF向上突破DEA,可作买。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(2)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、DIFF与DEA均为负值,即都在零轴线以下时,大势属空头市场,DIFF向下跌破DEA可作卖。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(3)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、当DEA线与K线趋势发生背离时为反转信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(4)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、DEA在盘局时,失误率较高,但如果配合RSI及KD,可以适当弥补缺憾。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(5)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、分析MACD柱形图,由正变负时往往指示该卖,反之往往为买入信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">6.BIAS</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">乖离率指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">若股价在移动平均线之上,乖离率为正,反之为负;当股价与平均线相同,乖离率为零。乖离率周而复始穿梭在零的上方或下方。从长期图形变动可看出正乖离率大至某百分比</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">以上便是卖出时机,负乖离率低至某百分比之下是买进时机。多头市场的狂涨与空头市场的狂跌会使乖高率达到意想不到的百分比,但是出现次数极少,时间亦短。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">BIAS</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(N)=(收盘价 - N日移动平均价)/ N日移动平均价 * 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">缺省时,系统在副图上绘制N=6日,12日,24日三条乖离线BIAS1、BIAS2、BIAS3。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">由计算方法看出,乖离率表现当日指数或个股当日收盘价与移动平均线之间的差距。例如十天乖离率即表示了最近10天买进者的获利情形,正的乖离率愈大,表示短期获利愈大,</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">则获利回吐的可能性愈高;负的乖离率愈大,则空头回补的可能性也愈高。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">乖离率究竟达到何种程度才是买进时机?并没有统一的原则,使用者只能凭经验判断一段行情的强势或弱势做为买卖股票的依据。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">7.PSY</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">心理线指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">心理线主要研究投资者的心理趋向,将一定时期内投资人趋向买方或卖方的心理事实转化为数值,形成人气指标,从而判断股价的未来走势。一般以12天为短期投资指标,以24</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">日为中期投资指标。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">心理线 = N日内上涨天数 / N * 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">以N天心理线为例,其计算方法如下:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">缺省时,系统在副图上绘制12日心理线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">心理线最好与K线相互对照,如此更能从股价变动中了解超买或卖情形。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">由心理线来看,当一段上升行情展开前,通常超卖现象的最低点会出现两次,因此,投资人观察心理线,若发现某一天的超卖现象严重,短期内低于此点的机会极小,当心理线</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">向上变动而再度回落此点时,就是买进的机会。反之亦然。所以,无论上升行情或下跌行情展开前,都会出现两次以上的买点与卖点,使投资人有充分的时间研判未来股价变动方</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">向,再作进出之最后决策。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、一段上升行情展开前,通常超卖之低点会出现两次。同样,一段下跌行情展开前,超买的最高点也会出现两次。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、心理线指标介于25至75之间是合理的变动范围,这一区间属于常态分布。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、超过75或低于25时,就有超买或超卖现象出现。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">在大多头、大空头市场初期可将超买超卖点调至高于83和低于17,直到行情尾声,再回调至75与25。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、当低于10时是真正的超卖,反弹的机会相对提高,此时为买进时机。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、高点密集出现两次为卖出信号,低点密集出现两次是买进信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">6</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、心理线和成交量比率(VR)配合使用,确定短期买卖点,可以找出每一波的高低点</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">8.DMI</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">动向指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">Directional Movement Index</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">动向指标的基本原理是探求价格在上升及下跌过程中的买卖双方力量的"均衡点",亦即供需关系由"紧张"状况,通过价格的变化而达致"和谐",然后再"紧张",又再"和谐"的循环不息的过程。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、趋向指标的第一步工作,先确认基本的"趋向变动值" (DM)是上涨还是下跌,分别以+DM与-DM来表示上升与下降的趋向变动值。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">A</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.无趋向:无趋向有两种情况,一种为内移日,一种为两力均衡日。今日最高价低于或等于昨日最高价,今日最低价高于或等于昨日最低价,即为内移日。若今日最高价高于</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">昨日最高价,其差额绝对值刚好等于今日最低价与昨日最低价更低的差额绝对值,因此形成两力均衡走势,即为两力均衡日。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">B</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.上升趋向:今日最高价高于昨日最高价,今日最低价高于或等于昨日最低价,则出现上升趋向值。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">+DM=今日最高价-昨日最高价</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">C</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.下降趋向:今日最低价低于昨日最低价,今日最高价低于或等于昨日最高价,则出现下降趋向值。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">-DM=昨日最低价-今日最低价</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">注意:负方向变动值并不为负数,负号仅代表下跌方向。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、第二步工作是找出"真实波幅"(True Range)。下面三个差中,数值最大者即为当日的真正波幅。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">A</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.当日最高价与当日最低价的差。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">B</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.当日最高价与昨日收盘价的差的绝对值。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">C</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.当日最低价与昨日收盘价的差的绝对值。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、计算出上升、下降趋向变动值(+DM和-DM)与真正波幅(TR)后,第三步便要找出方向线(Directional Indicator)。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">方向线(DI)为探测价格上涨或下跌的指标,有上升方向线(+DI)及下跌方向线(-DI)。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">将N天内的+DM、-DM及TR平均,分别记为+DMN、-DMN、TRN,则N天的上升或下跌方向线的计算方法</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">如下:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">+DI = +DMN / TRN * 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">-DI = -DMN / TRN * 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">N</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">:待设定参数,缺省值14日</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">上升与下跌方向线的数值永远介于0与100之间。N天上升方向线表示最近N天以来实际上涨力量的百分比。而N天下跌方向线则表示最近N天以来实际下跌力量百分比。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">假设价格持续下跌,那么下降趋向变动值不断出现,将使下跌方向线的数值不断升高;相对的上涨方向线则呈下降的导向。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">当价格持续上涨,则上述情况的相反导向将出现于图形上。在盘档(牛皮盘)时,上升与下跌方向线差异将很微小。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、趋向指标除了上升,下跌方向线外,另一条指标为"趋向平均线"(ADX,Average Directional Movement Index)。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">在计算趋向平均线以前,须先计算出"趋向值"</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(Directional Movement Index)。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">A</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.趋向值(DX)的计算为:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">DX </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= DIDIF / DISUM *100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">DIDIF </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= 上升方向线与下跌方向线的差的绝对值</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">DISUM </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= 上升方向线与下跌方向线的和</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">B</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.由于趋向值的变动性大,因此对它作N1天指数平滑移动平均,即得到所要的趋向平均值(ADX)。N1的缺省值为6。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">缺省时,系统绘制四条线,分别为14日上升方向线DI1,14日下跌方向线DI2,趋向平均值线ADX,今日趋向平均值与6日前的趋向平均值的平均值线ADXR。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">在运用方面,由于其本身属于一个趋势判断系统,因此受到市场行情趋势是否明显的限制。假若市场行情价格的波动非常明显的维持一个趋向,根据这个指标得到的买进信号或卖出信号是比较准确的。但若是行情处于牛皮盘档时,这个指标的效果就不理想了。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">趋向指标系统中,主要分析上升方向线DI1,下跌方向线DI2,趋向平均值ADX</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">这三条线之间的关系。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">上升方向线DI1与下跌方向线DI2的功用:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">a</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.当DI1从下向上递增突破DI2时,显示市场内部有新多头进场,愿意以更高的价格买进(由于有创新高的价格,使DI1上升,DI2下降),因此为买进信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">b</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.相反的,DI2从下向上突破DI1,显示市场内部有新空头进场,愿意以更低的价格卖出,因此为卖出信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.趋向平均值ADX的功用:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">a</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.判断行情趋势</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">在行情趋势非常明显地朝单一方向前进时,无论其为上涨或下跌,ADX值都会逐渐增加。换言之,当ADX值持续高于前日时,我们可断定此时市场行情将持续上涨,或持续下跌。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">b</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.判断行情是否牛皮盘档</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">当市场行情反复涨跌时,ADX会出现递减。原因为价格虽然有新高出现,同时亦会有新低出现,因而致使上升方向线与下跌方向线愈拉愈近,ADX值也逐渐减少。当ADX数值降低到20以下,且呈现横方向进行时,我们可以断定此时市场气氛为&#39;牛皮盘档&#39;。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">c</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.判断行情是否到顶或到底</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">当ADX数值从上升的倾向转为下降之时,表明行情即将反转。即在涨势中,ADX在高点由升转跌,表示涨势将告结束;反之,在跌势中,ADX也在高点由升转跌,表示跌势将告结束。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">9.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">价格通道</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">以10日平滑移动平均线(MA)为基准,上调和下调一定比率而连成的两条线形成的一个通道,缺省比率为10%。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">10.KDJ</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">随机指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">该指标适用于中短期股票的技术分析。KD线的随机观念,远比移动平均线实用。移动平均线在习惯上只以收盘价来计算,因而无法表现出一段行情的真正波幅的。换句话说,当日或最近数日的最高价、最低价,无法在移动平均线上体现。因而有些专家才慢慢开创出一些更进步的技术理论,将移动平均线的应用发挥得淋漓尽致。KD线就是其中一个颇具代表性的杰作。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">随机指标在图表上采用%K和%D两条线,在设计中综合了动量观念、强弱指标与移动平均线的优点,在计算过程中主要研究高低价位与收市价的关系,反映价格走势的强弱和超买超卖现象。它的主要理论依据是:当价格上涨时,收市价倾向于接近当日价格区间的上端;相反,在下降趋势中收市价趋向于接近当日价格区间的下端。在股市和期市中,因为市场趋势上升而未转向前,每日多数都会偏向于高价位收市,而下跌时收市价就常会偏于低位。随机指数在设计中充分考虑价格波动的随机振幅与中短期波动的测算,使其短期测市功能比移动平均线更加准确有效,在市场短期超买超卖的预测方面又比强弱指数敏感,因此,这一指标被投资者广泛采用。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算随机指标数值时,首先须找出最近N天内曾出现过的最高价、最低价与第N天的收盘价,然后利用这三个数字来计算第N天的未成熟随机值(RSV)。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">RSV</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">=(第N日收盘价 - 最近N日最近价)/</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(最近N日最高价 - 最近N日最低价)* 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">N</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">:待设定参数,缺省值9日</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">然后,求RSV的N2日移动平均,得K值;再求K值的N3日移动平均得D值。N2、N3的缺省值都为3。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">K</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">与D值永远介于0与1之间。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">KD</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">线中的RSV,随着9日中高低价、收盘价的变动而有所不同。如果行情是一个明显的涨势,会带动K线(快速平均值)与D线(慢速平均值)向上升。但如涨势开始迟缓,便会慢慢反应到K值与D值,使K线跌破D线,此时中短期跌势确立。由于KD线本质上是一个随机波动的观念,对于掌握中短期的行情走势非常正确。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">缺省时,系统在副图上绘制三条线,分别为RSV值的三日平均线K,K值的三日平均线D,三倍D值减二倍K值所得的J线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、D值在70以上时,市场呈现超买现象。D值在30以下时,市场则呈现超卖现象。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、当随机指数与股价出现背离时,一般为转势的信号。中期或短期的走势有可能已见顶或见底。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、当K值大于D值,显示目前趋势是向上涨,因此K线向上突破D线时,为买进信号。当D值大于K值,显示趋势是向下跌,因此K线向下跌破D线,为卖出信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、K线与D线的交叉,须在70以上,30以下信号才较为正确。K线与D线在特性上与强弱指标一样,当K值与D值在70以上,已显示超买的现象,30以下出现超卖的现象。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">KD</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">线不仅能反映市场的超买超卖程度,还能通过交叉突破发出买卖信号。但若这类交叉突破在50左右发生,走势又陷入盘局时,买卖信号可视为无效。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、当K值和D值上升或下跌的速度减弱,倾斜度趋于平缓是短期转势的预警信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">6</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、KD不适用于发行量太小,交易太小的股票;但对指数以及热门大型股有极高的准确性。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">11.RSI</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">相对强弱指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">Relative Strength Index</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">相对强弱指数的理论认为,在一个正常的股市中,只有多空双方的力量取得均衡,股价才能稳定。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">RSI </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= 100 - 100 /(1+RS)(1)</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">RS </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= N日内收市价上涨幅度总和 / N日内收市价下跌幅度总和(2)</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">公式中的RS又称为相对强弱值,公式(1)把强弱的变化幅度限定在0~100之间。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">缺省时,系统在副图上绘制三条线,分别为6日线RSI1,12日线RSI2,24日线RSI3。RSI反应了股价变动的四个因素:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">上涨的天数、下跌的天数、上涨的幅度、下跌的幅度。它对股价的四个构成要素都加以考虑,所以在股价预测方面其准确度较为可信。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">根据正态分布理论, 随机变数在靠近中心数值附近区域出现的机会最多,离中心数值越远, 出现的机会就越小。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">在股市的长期发展过程中,绝大多数时间里相对强弱指数</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">的变化范围介于30和70之间,其中又以40和60之间的机会最多,超过80或者低于20的机会较少。而出现机会最少的是高于90及低于10。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、6日RSI值高于85, 市场处于超买状态;6日RSI低于15,市场处于超卖状态。在85附近出现M头可以卖出,15附近出现W底可以买进。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、RSI在50以下为弱势市场,50以上为强势市场。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、RSI在50以上的准确性较高。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、盘整时, RSI一底比一底高,表示多头强势,后市可能再涨一段,反之一底比一底低是卖出信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、若股价尚在盘整阶段,而 RSI已整理完成,则价位将随之突破整理区。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">6</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、当 RSI 与股价出现背离时,一般为转势的信号。代表着大势反转,此时应选择正确的买卖时机。结合快速与慢速两条RSI线来确定买卖时机:把6天和12天RSI结合起来使用,当图形上6日RSI线向上突破12日RSI时,即为买进的信号。当6日RSI线向下跌破12日RSI,即为卖出信号。尤其当RSI处于低位30以下发出的买入信号与高位70以上发出的卖出信号极为可靠。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">7</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、RSI图形之反压线(下降趋势线)呈现15度至30度时,最具反压意义,如果反压线的角度太陡,很快地会被突破,失去反压之意义。相反,RSI图形之支撑线(上升趋势线)呈现负15度至负30度时,最具支撑意义,如果支撑线的角度太陡,将会很容易地被突破,失去支撑之意义</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">12.W</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">%R威廉指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">Williams Overbought/Oversold Index</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">全名为"威廉氏超买超卖指标",属于分析市场短期买卖走势的技术指标。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">WMS</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">%R = (HN - C) / (HN - LN) * 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">HN </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">:N日内最高价</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">LN </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">:N日内最低价</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">C </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">: 当日收盘价</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">N</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">: 缺省值14</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">威廉指数值在0至100之间波动,威廉指数的值越小,市场的买气越重;其值越大,市场卖气越浓。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">当威廉指数线高于80,市场处于超卖状态,行情即将见底,80的横线一般称为卖出线。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.当威廉指数线低于20,市场处于超卖状态,行情即将见顶,20的横线一般称为"买入线"。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.与相对强弱指数配合使用,充分发挥二者在判断强弱市及炒买炒卖现象的互补功能,可得出对大市走向较为准确的判断。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.威廉指数与动力指标配合使用,在同一时期的股市周期循还内,可以确认股价的高峰与低谷。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">.使用威廉指数作为测市工具,既不容易错过大行情,也不容易在高价区套牢。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">但由于该指标太敏感,在操作过程中,最好能结合相对强弱指数等较为平缓的指标一起判断。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">13.BRAR</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family: 宋体;color:blue">人气意愿指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">人气指标和意愿指标都是以分析历史股价为手段的技术指标,其中人气指标较重视开盘价,从而反映市场买卖的人气,而意愿指标则重视收盘价格,反映的是市场买卖意愿的程度,两项指标分别从不同的角度对股价波动进行分析,达到追踪股价未来动向的目的。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">AR</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">人气指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">系以当天开盘价为基础与当天之最高、最低价比,依固定公式统计算出来的强弱指标,又可称为买卖气势指标。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">AR </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= (H - O)N天之和 / (O - L)N天之和 * 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">H</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">:当天最高价 L:当天最低价 O:当天开盘价</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">N</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">:待设定参数,缺省值26日</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、AR指标值大约以100为中心,当介于80-120之间时,属于盘整行情,股价不会激烈的上升或下降。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、AR指标上升至150以上时,就必须注意股价将进入回档下跌。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、R高表示行情很活泼,过度高时表示股价已达到最高的范围,需退出。而AR低时表示仍在充实气势之中,过低则暗示股价已达低点,可介入。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、AR指标具有股价达到顶峰或落至谷底的领先功能。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、AR路线可以看出某一时段的买卖气势。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">BR</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">意愿指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">以昨天的收盘价为基础与今天的最高、最低价比较,依固定公式计算出来的强弱指标,又可称为买卖意愿指标。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">先在N日内统计强势累加和HIGHN与弱势累加和LOWN,若某日的最高价高于昨收,则将今日最高价与昨收的差累加到HIGHN中,若某日的最低价低于昨收,则将昨收与今日最低价的差累加到LOWN中。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">BR </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= HIGHN / LOWN * 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">N</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">:缺省值26日</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(1)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、BR指标介于70-150间属于盘整行情。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(2)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、BR值高于300以上时,需注意股价的回档行情。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(3)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、BR值低于50以下时,需注意股价的反弹行情。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(4)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、一般AR可以单独使用,而BR却需与AR并列,才能发挥BR的效用。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(5)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、AR、BR急速上升,意味距股价高峰已近。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(6)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、若BR比AR低时,可逢低价买进。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(7)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、BR从高价跌幅达1/2时,就要趁低价买进。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(8)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、BR急速上升,而AR盘整或小回时,应逢高出货。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">14.VR</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">容量比率指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">VR</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">值能表现股市买卖的气势,进而掌握股价之趋向。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">在N日内统计强势累加和UPN与弱势累加和DOWNN。某日若为收阳日,则该日的成交量累加到UPN中;若为收阴日则累加到DOWNN中。若某日收市价等于开盘价,则该日成交量一半累加到UPN中,另一半累加到DOWNN中。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">VR </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">= UPN / DOWNN * 100</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">N </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">:待设定参数,缺省值26</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(1)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、根据VR值大小确定买卖时机: 低价区40到70可以买进;80到150时股价波动较小,可以持有;获利区160到350可获利了结; 警戒区350以上伺机卖出。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(2)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、当成交额经萎缩后放大, 而VR值也从低区向上递增时,行情可能发动,是买进的时机。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(3)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、低位盘整时,VR值增加,可考虑买进。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(4)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、VR值在安全区内,股价牛皮盘整,一般应持股。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(5)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、VR值在获利区内,股价不断上涨,VR值增加,可把握高位出货。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(6)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、VR值上升至160到180以后,成交量会进入衰退期,碰到顶点后很容易进入下降期;相反地,VR值在低于40后,很容易探底反弹。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">(7)</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、一般说来,VR指标在低价区买入的信号有一定可信度,观察高价区时宜参考其它指标,因为股价涨完后可能再涨。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">15.OBV</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">能量潮指标</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">&nbsp;</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">能量潮是将成交量数量化,制成趋势线,配合股价趋势线,从价格的变动及成交量的增减关系,推测市场气氛。其主要理论基础是市场价格的变化必须有成交量的配合,股价的波动与成交量的扩大或萎缩有密切的关连。通常股价上升所需的成交量总是较大;下跌时,则成交量总是较小。价格升降而成交量不相应升降,则市场价格的变动难以为继。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">计算方法</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">以某日为基期,逐日累计每日上市股票总成交量,若隔日指数或股票上涨,则基期OBV加上本日成交量为本日OBV。隔日指数或股票下跌,则基期OBV减去本日成交量为本日OBV。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">一般来说,只是观察OBV的升降并无多大意义,必须配合K线图的走势才有实际的效用。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">应用法则:</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、当股价上升而OBV线下降,表示买盘无力,股价可能会回跌。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">2</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、股价下降时而OBV线上升,表示买盘旺盛,逢低接手强股,股价可能会止跌回升。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">3</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、OBV线缓慢上升,表示买气逐渐加强,为买进信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">4</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、OBV线急速上升时,表示力量将用尽为卖出信号。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">5</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、OBV线对双重顶第二个高峰的确定有较为标准的显示,当股价自双重顶第一个高峰下跌又再次回升时,如果OBV线能够随股价趋势同步上升且价量配合,则可持续多头市场并出</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">现更高峰。相反,当股价再次回升时OBV线未能同步配合,却见下降,则可能形成第二个顶峰,完成双重顶的形态,导致股价反转下跌。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">6</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、OBV线从正的累积数转为负数时,为下跌趋势,应该卖出持有股票。反之,OBV线从负的累积数转为正数时,应该买进股票。</span></strong></p><p style=";margin-bottom:0;line-height: 36px;background:#FFFBE7"><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">7</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size:16px;font-family:宋体;color:blue">、OBV线最大的用处,在于观察股市盘局整理后,何时会脱离盘局以及突破后的未来走势,OBV线变动方向是重要参考指数。</span></strong></p><p style="line-height:15px">&nbsp;</p><p><br></p>