<div class="rich_media_content " id="js_content" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; overflow: hidden; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); position: relative; min-height: 350px; font-family: &#39;Helvetica Neue&#39;, Helvetica, &#39;Hiragino Sans GB&#39;, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 25.6px; text-indent: 0px; white-space: normal;"><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">一个纯粹靠运气,绝对公平的赌博胜负几率都是50%,盈亏率也是对等的。<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">一个专业的麻将老手或者德州选手,他们的胜率可能都不足50%,但是盈利率很高,因为他们奉行一次盈利能够弥补很多次亏损的操作方法。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">假设你能挑选到一个好股池,股池里60%的股能涨。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">然后你选了一个买入点,60%几率你买入立刻涨。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">买入后不会剧烈震荡,不会把你洗出局的概率为70%。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">最后你需要一个合适的卖点,你盈利卖出的几率算80%好了。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">那么你选到一只好股的概率为60%。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">你买入好股立刻涨起来的概率60%*60%为36%。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">你买到好股之后震荡没有把你洗出局的概率60%*70%为42%</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">你买到好股之后震荡你依旧持有,最终盈利出局的概率42%*80%为33.6%。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">你可以去看看大部分实盘赛的成绩,那些交易比较频繁的即使盈利能力很高,但是胜率也是接近50%的;交易越频繁的选手,判断正确率越低。<br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">那些胜率高的,往往是交易频次相对比较低的。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">贴一个股社区那边盗过来的图说明下散户交易习惯</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><img src="http://img.imaibo.net/data/uploads/2015/1106/14/563c4ba0d45ec.jpg" title="散户操作.jpg" rel="http://img.imaibo.net/data/uploads/2015/1106/14/563c4ba0d45ec.jpg"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">这是一个很符合大部分人操作习惯的图。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">假设上涨1000个点,可能只吃到600个点。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">但是下跌1000个点,很容易吃满1000个点的。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">还有更重要一点,一般散户买的时候盈利了,不会往户头里入金补仓,但是亏损后入金量明显增加,越是断崖式下跌,补仓的钱就越多。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">所以最后往往<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">赚是用2万去赚,但是亏是10万去亏。</span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">人性有个习惯就是喜欢认为自己是运气最好的。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">任何大佬的收益率在他们看每天的涨停榜时都感觉是小菜一碟。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">但是真相是,绝大部分的散户收益率远输于大盘指数,中短线交易本身就是反人性的事,你记的住这七秒不等于你能坚持这纪律一年。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">多少大佬都是在最后自己不遵守自己的交易纪律时爆仓的。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">即使是赌场里也是有专业人士的,比如麻将的雀神,德州专业选手。这些都是能以赌博为生的人,但是你也不可能要求别人100%胜率啊,他们的胜率可能比一些新手的胜率都低,但是他们就是靠单次大盈利来填补平时的小亏损的。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">股市真正能长期盈利的出路就两条:</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">一.每一次盈利,能够抵抗多次的亏损。赚取中间的盈亏差。慢慢提高盈亏比,提高单次交易的盈利,限制单次交易的亏损。</p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; clear: both; min-height: 1em; white-space: pre-wrap; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;">二.只做自己胜率很高的情况,绝大部分情况下不出手,提高胜率。</p></div><p><br></p>