<div style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; text-indent: 0px; white-space: normal; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">&nbsp;今天真是牛</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">X</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">的一天,大盘狂奔,本来以为大盘连涨</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">3</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">天实在太猛,周末宣布</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">IPO</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">,</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">IPO</span><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 11.5pt; text-indent: 21pt;">虽然是长期利好,但是抽血就是抽血,短期肯定是利空,市场起码应该震荡下吧,结果一丁点回踩都不给,直接就狂拉了,拉到你怀疑人生。虽然我看牛市,但是没想到这头牛这么疯。</span></div><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">今日收盘价<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3646,5</span>日线是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3507,10</span>日线是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3444,20</span>日线<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3403,30</span>日线是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3304</span>,其偏差已经达到了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">139/202/243/342</span>,如此之大的点位偏差堪称恐怖,即使在疯牛阶段,也很少见过大盘点位和这些重要均线高出这么多,实在是太多了。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">今天我预备买的个股,因为我预计大盘要回调一下,所以统统挂低了,看中的<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">4</span>个,<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2</span>个涨停一个<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">8%</span>一个<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">5%</span>,结果我统统没买到,颗粒无收,最后选了另外一个比较接近支撑位的,图保险求自保吧。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">大盘脱离了震荡区域之后,开始了<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">4</span>天的疯狂冲刺,一个火车开起来,想精确的刹住是很难的,所以像震荡期间那样精确的卡点卡到个位数这几天是做不到了,见谅,我只能卡到十位数精准度上。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">国家队为何敢这么拉,不知道,他手里到底有什么底牌还没有亮出来,所以我只能揣测。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">首先,我们揣测下,大盘会不会直接击破<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3800/4000</span>二大压力位,连阳不阴,假设成立,那大盘就是疯牛无疑,到时候你想停都停不下来,国家冒着这么大风险和力气打死了疯牛割了小散的肉之后再亲手造一个疯牛,何必呢,管理层一直强调应当是慢牛,慢牛才是核心,什么是慢牛,走走停停才是慢牛,而不是一口气冲上天,走一步歇一个月然后再走,这轮牛市本不是天然的,就是国家队硬生生人造的,那么他绝对不会人造疯牛,慢牛绝对是他的人造目标,否则他无法向天下人交代,所以,我们否决了大盘直接冲破<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3800</span>和<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">4000</span>二大阻力位的可能性。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">那么,大盘自底部运行分<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3</span>个阶段,分几大震荡阶段。</span></p><p><img src="http://img.imaibo.net/data/uploads/2015/1109/22/5640a7b162962.png" title="11.png" rel="http://img.imaibo.net/data/uploads/2015/1109/22/5640a7b1615bb.png"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">我们可以看到,第一阶段,高低点之差<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">400</span>点,第二阶段<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">450</span>点。那么我们可以揣测第三阶段的高低点之差在<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">400-450</span>之间,那么我们可以得出,第三阶段最高点应该是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3700-3750</span>。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">主震荡区间,第一阶段的高差是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">250</span>点,第二阶段的是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">200</span>点,我们可以得出,第三阶段的震荡阶段很有可能是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">200-250</span>,据此推算他的震荡区间应该是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3450</span>为低点,而高点应当是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3650-3700</span>。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15.454545021057129px;">然后再看一组数据</span></p><p><img src="http://img.imaibo.net/data/uploads/2015/1109/22/5640a7cdc41f0.png" title="22.png" rel="http://img.imaibo.net/data/uploads/2015/1109/22/5640a7cdc3287.png"/></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">根据黄金分割法则,我们可以得出,<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3740</span>位置为压力位<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">根据江恩定律我们可以得出,<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3717</span>为压力位。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">所以我们有理由认为,在<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3700</span>正负<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">30</span>点附近,大盘存在强大的压力,有短期回调回踩均线的需要,就算只踩一下<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">5</span>日均线,大盘也会大跌<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">100</span>点之多,这个非常的恐怖。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">今天我建议的仓位是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3</span>成, 而我手里的仓位是<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">4</span>成,那么明天我建议逢高减仓,持有<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2</span>成仓过夜,我认为大盘直接冲破<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3750</span>的概率只有<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2</span>成,那么匹配<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2</span>成仓位是合适的,不回踩均线,实在不安心。<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;"></span></span></p><p style="margin-bottom: 20px; padding: 0px; max-width: 100%; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, &#39;Microsoft YaHei&#39;; font-size: 14px; line-height: 26.040000915527344px; white-space: normal; text-indent: 21pt; height: auto !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;><span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important; font-size: 11.5pt; font-family: 宋体;">所以我认为,明日大盘冲高回落收小十字星或者小阴来做短期顶部的可能性大,我建议至少应当等大盘回踩<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">5</span>日均线的时候再行买入,当前自保为主,就算一路暴涨,持有<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2</span>成仓位跟风足够吃肉了,如果下跌,可以在<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">5</span>日均线,<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">20</span>日均线处分别补仓,万无一失,牛市根基仍在,区别只是回调而已,牛市里永不空仓,爱跌跌去,但是要根据大盘的具体情况,控制自己的仓位,来规避一定的风险。大盘连续<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">4</span>天爆拉,实在是悬,我觉得明日大盘就该歇一歇了,停止涨势开始横盘或者短期下跌,高点应该就在<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3700</span>正负<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">30</span>点位置,最多摸一下<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3750</span>。休息一段时间后继续冲刺<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">3800/4000</span>关口。无视涨跌无脑持有<span style="max-width: 100%; word-wrap: break-word !important;">2~3</span>成底仓以防止意外踏空扰乱心态,同时持有现金,逢低就买,才是获取稳定收益的王道。</span></p><p><br></p>